Once again the Nationals bats could not find the ball in San Diego last night as the club dropped its sixth game in a row last night, 7-0.

The Nationals only combined for four hits Wednesday, all of which were singles. These pokes came form Willie Harris in the leadoff spot, Adam Dunn batting third and Ryan Zimmerman had two in the cleanup position.

John Lannan took the mound for the Nationals last night and again struggled. The lefty earned his 10^th loss of the season in a campaign that saw him toss only five innings, allow five earned runs on six this and walk four. The appearance leaves the Nationals ace, Lannan, winless since August 5th when he topped the Marlins. While Lannan’s last start saw him earn no decision in eight excellent innings of work, his previous seven starts saw him struggle to get out of the fifth inning.

Since the Nyjer Morgan injury against the Cubs on August 27^th the Nationals are 0-6. They are averaging only 1.5 runs per game, and only 6.3 hits per game. While this isn’t exact quantifiable evidence that Morgan directly impacts the clubs offensive ability, it certainly is a strong correlation.

If the Nationals don’t figure something out, it will be an ugly limp to the end of the season.

Breaking down the Nats futility, Chico Harlan wrote in the WaPo's Nationals Journal:

"In three games against the Padres, the Nats had a .172 team batting average with two extra base hits. Go back even further, and Washington has scored just nine runs during this six-game losing streak. The Washington lineup, on Wednesday, didn't manage any base hits between the first and eighth innings against Kevin Correia. And get this: In a four-inning stretch, from the second to the fifth, no Nationals player managed an at-bat that went longer than four pitches."

Joe Sheehan wrote in Prospectus Today about the development of Justin Maxwell, or lack there of:

"Justin Maxwell is a bit like Walker, although I think the hype around him was mostly me buying too much into the opinion of a guest on a radio show I co-hosted about two years ago. I’m not going to sell out the analyst, who is a very good one who’s been doing this since I was working in QuarkXpress every day. Suffice to say they liked Maxwell a whole lot. He lost his 2008 season to a wrist injury then had a strikeout-plagued 2009 one, and now the Nationals have Nyjer Morgan, so it’s not clear that Maxwell has any hope in DC, but Morgan’s injury probably gives him two weeks to impress the team. He batted leadoff and played center field last night, and will do so until Morgan returns or he shows he can’t do the job."

In Christina Kahrl's Transaction Analysis Blog on Baseball Prospectus, in reference to the Nationals pitching rotation, she said:

"Segue to scenes from the upcoming classic bound to be the first-ever joint production from ESPN and LOGO: Brokeback Rotation. It's the story of a man and his team daring to live together, resolutely apart from the judgments of a cruel, unfair world where certain relentless standards of what constitutes acceptable performance come into play. Losing ballgames? Who are we to judge, as long as you've got a shortage of alternatives and a willing workhorse to saddle up and ride to the bitter end? You're sure to shed a tear when Teddy Roosevelt says to Livan Hernandez, "I wish I knew how to quit you."

For those readers that don’t already know. I have recently been awarded an internship with the Columbus Blue Jackets (NHL) for the 2009/2010 season. The lack of updates in the last three days have been a result of my temporary move to Columbus.
 

Nats fall to San Diego

The Nationals brought Livan Hernandez back to the club to do one thing; eat innings. Seeing as eating is clearly one of Livan’s favorite things to do, the plan worked out perfectly for the Nats Monday night in their 3-1 loss to the Padres.

Hernandez pitched a complete game loss Monday, throwing only 90 pitches while allowing three earned runs on seven hits. The big righty struck out five while walking only one, and aside from a few sparing mistakes, Hernandez pitched an excellent game.

The Nationals bats could not wake up Monday however, not even against the apathetic pitching of the San Diego Padres.

The club combined for eight hits, with the only run coming from Livan himself. Hernandez reached base twice, one a hit and a walk and perhaps was Washington’s best offensive threat.

Rookie Pete Orr continued his hot streak going 2/4 with the games only RBI. He is now hitting .533 on his short season.

In other news:

Utility infielder Ronnie Belliard was traded to Los Angeles earlier this week in return for minor league right-handed pitcher Luis Garcia. Garcia is a 22-year-old Dominican who has been successful at every stop thus far, as he is finishing 2009 in high-A Great Lakes as a reliever. Christina Kahrl of Baseball Prospectus said:

"Garcia's a worthwhile arm to have added to the stockpile, having pitched effectively for Great Lakes in Low-A in his full-season debut. The 22-year-old Dominican's been generating a lot of ground-ball outs (1.8 for every fly), which isn't easy with the suspect fields and fielding in the minors, while also striking out 55 in 73 IP against just 14 walks. Getting that plus something else for a few weeks of Ronnie Belliard's time seems entirely worthwhile."

Bill Ladson of MLB.com is reporting that Mike Rizzo has indicated that the Nationals may not make their September call-ups for another week. Rizzo also said to expect many arms to be used in September to ease the wear and tear on their young pitching staff, but to also be on the look out for Ian Desmond’s MLB debut.

Dave Nichols of the Nats News Network and Federal Baseball wrote a piece yesterday on his predictions for possible call ups for September:

"With September 1 literally just hours away, major league teams can expand their active roster to include anyone occupying a spot on their 40-man roster.  Traditionally, teams have utilized the "September call-up" in one of several ways:

1)  For contenders, it's a chance to give their regulars a night off here and there in preparation for the gruel of the playoffs

2)  For middle of the pack teams, it's often a reward to long-time minor leaguers or AAAA-types toiling in obscurity

3)  For bottom feeders, it's an opportunity for a chance to see that prospect that everyone is excited about, even for just a quick appearance
"

FOR THE BIG NEWS

Bloguin, the sports blogging network that The Nats Blog is so lucky to be a part of, has just launched their own portal. Bloguin looks to be to the sports blog world what  ESPN.com is to the mainstream sports news world. Check it out. 
 

Going into the 2008 offseason the Lerner group promised the fans of the Washington Nationals that the club would land a big name free agent.

In their sights was one man in particular, the biggest fish in the free agency sea, first basemen Mark Teixeira. It seemed destine to happen, too. Teixeira was from the D.C/Maryland area and the Nationals had the most money to offer to him out of all his suitors. The Nats made their push for the slugger and they let everyone know about it.

Then on December 23^rd , Teixeira, out of nowhere, signed an eight-year, $180 million deal with the New York Yankees.

Merry Christmas, Washington.

Desperate, the Nationals combed the now depleted free agent market to try and find some sort of bat to support their young star Ryan Zimmerman. More importantly the Nationals had to make some sort of signing to save the franchise from embarrassment in the media, and ridicule by their fan base.

February rolled around and the Nats had yet to make any type of splash in free agency. There was only one man available who had himself suffered a disappointing offseason, Adam Dunn. Dunn had the numbers, and had expected a major deal. The Nationals had the money, and had expected to sign a marquee name. Both were avoided in the market, for whatever reason.

The two struck a short-term deal, a compromise for both sides. The Nats got a premium talent at only $10 million a year and Adam Dunn got a place to showcase his talent for two years before hitting what he hopes will be a better market.
  

Now, six months later, time has shed light on the 2008/2009 offseason. The Washington Nationals can now look back and evaluate how what once seemed as ill fate may have turned to great fortune.

The Yankees are currently paying Teixeira $20 million in salary this season, plus a $5 million signing bonus. While that number will slowly increase per year, it is currently one of the highest salaries in professional sports. In return for $25 million in 2009 the Pin Stripes have received a first basemen who is hitting .284/.380/.547 with 32 homers, 101 RBI, and 70 BB to 90K.

That’s $781,000 per homer, $247,000 per RBI, and $27,000 per OPS point.

The Nationals on the other hand are currently paying Adam Dunn $8 million in 2009 with no flair aside from his salary. In return the Nats are receiving a first basemen who is hitting .282/.417/.578  with 35 homers, 91 RBI, and 100 BB/147 K.

That translates to $228,571 per homer, $87,000 per RBI, and $8,000 per OPS point.

It seems that with the season almost over the Nationals lucked into the far better deal as their slugger is having the same season as the Yankees’ one but for an exponentially better price. Even better for the Nats, Dunn is only locked into a two-year deal so they are not pigeon holed as their big man first basemen ages. Dunn also does not have a no trade clause, unlike Texeira, allowing the Nationals more flexibility.

For the short term this deal works for the Nationals because it gives them a player equal to Teixeira’s ability at the plate, and it does so for less salary. It also gives them a slugger to endure several losing seasons while still attempting to put a competitive team on the field with stars that will appease the fans. Dunn is the perfect rent-a-star that the Nationals need to take them to the 2011 offseason when their talent will be developed enough to start making effective free agent moves.

In the long run this will help the club by clearing up their post 2011 payroll. They will need as much money as they can to sign their young prospects to extensions as well as go after relevant free agents when they are in a position to compete. The Yankees will be stuck paying Teixeira $22.5 million in 2016, will he still be worth it?

Be thankful he rejected the Nats, they are in way better shape today as a result. 

John Lannan took the mound under the arch in St. Louis Friday night looking for redemption.

Following a start that was arguably the worst in his career, the lefty pitched purposefully with his parents looking on in the stands. Allowing only three hits and one run through the first seven innings, Lannan looked like he would cruise to his ninth win of the year.

With one out in the bottom of the eight however Lannan lost focus, even if just for a moment and fell behind to weak hitting Khalil Greene to a 3-0 count. Underestimating Greene’s bat Lannan threw a meat pitch across the plate for a taken strike one. Confident now that he could just place strikes in the zone against the career .246 hitter, Lannan hung a slider over the heart of the plate. The ball sailed over the left field fence as Greene tied the game with his sixth homer of the year.
  

Going into the top of the ninth Elijah Dukes smacked a one out double to right, which was feet from leaving the ballpark. However with the back of the order at the plate, both Bard and Gonzalez were retired in order and the Nats entered the bottom of the ninth still tied.

In the bottom of the inning Riggleman opted to put Jason Bergman in and not Nats closer Mike MacDougal to face Albert Pujols who led off the inning. On a 2-0 count Bergman hung a slider to the best hitter in the game, and the entire ballpark knew immediately at the point of contact that the game was over. Pujols had launched his 41^st homer of the season, and it was a walk off bomb for the Red Birds. 

Despite Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn’s career years, it was arguable up to this point that centerfielder Nyjer Morgan was the team’s MVP this season.

While it may be hard to argue that someone who was with the team for two months could possibly be the teams season long most valuable player, all you have to do is look at the Nationals season to understand. Before Morgan arrived the Nationals were 22-54, since they have been 24-28. His impact was felt offensively but in large part felt as the anchor of the outfield defense. Since his arrival the Nationals have allowed less earned runs, recorded less errors, and given up less hits.

Since Morgan’s arrival he has been the equivalent of Ichiro Suzuki for the Nats. The centerfielder batted .351, on base at .393, and slugged .435 since his Nationals debut July first. He has been a stolen base machine for the Nats as well, and a non-risky one as he has stolen 22 bases and only been caught seven times.

Ichiro 2009: .359/.389/.468, 24 SB, 1 Run per 1.8 games
Morgan with Nats: .351/.393/.435, 22 SB, 1 Run per 1.4 games

While Morgan helped spark the Nationals, it appears the Nationals helped spark Morgan as well. For Pittsburgh Morgan only batted .277/.351/.356 in 71 games for the Pirates. Clearly, hitting in front of Guzman, Zimmerman, Dunn, and Willingham, is a bonus.

Voices from around town:

“Nobody on the Washington Nationals can run as fast as Nyjer Morgan, steal as many bases, cover as much ground in the outfield, drop down as many bunt hits, or cause as many headaches for opposing pitchers. But somehow, the Nationals now must replace their leadoff man and center fielder.” – Chico Harlan, Nationals Journal

“Nyjer Morgan’s season ends four months after Nationals season ended” -Nationals Enquirer

“When Nyjer Morgan was at the ESPN Zone last week, he was asked at least twice about his penchant for the head first slide. Emcee Charlie Slowes asked him if he wouldn't please consider the feet first variety.

"Nah, not happening," Tony Plush said. "Headfirst, I just feel like you get dirty a lot quicker," he joked.” Dan Steinberg, D.C Sports Bog

The Nationals suffered a big blow to their already painful season, as Nyjer Morgan will be out for the remainder of the year with a broken hand.

The centerfielder suffered the injury Thursday afternoon while sliding headfirst into third base in the first inning. Morgan had reached base after drawing a walk from Cubs starting pitcher Randy Wells. He stole second and third base before scoring on a Cristian Guzman double.

Riding Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn home runs, the Nats hung on to win a 5-4 game, giving them the series win.

However the story of the game clearly belongs to Morgan and his injury. Morgan has been the sparkplug that has ignited the Nationals turnaround this season. At the plate he has been the catalyst for the Nationals at the top of the line up, batting .351/.393/.435 since his arrival while snagging 24 bases. In the field he has successfully anchored an outfield that had been lost before his arrival.

Morgan’s downfall came however when he broke his hand, which occurred when he broke a cardinal baseball fundamental.

YOU NEVER MAKE THE FIRST OR THE LAST OUT AT THIRD BASE.

This is something all baseball players learn in high school. When you are on second base, you are in scoring position. This means that any base hit should be able to drive in a runner on second, assuming the runner has average speed. Of course Morgan doesn’t have average speed, he has Nyjer Morgan supermaxwheels.

 There is no benefit for him to be on third base, especially with no outs. Percentages say that Guzman will get a hit at least 30 percent of the time, which will score him from second. If Guzman doesn’t get a hit odds are good that he will either hit a groundball to the right side or a fly ball that is deep enough to safely move Morgan to third with one out.

On the other side of the spectrum, imagine Morgan had been thrown out at third. It would have been an immediate inning killer to take a runner out of scoring position and instead add an out.

So Morgan’s injury was a result of a play that never should have happened in the first place. I always thought that I was being hyperbolic when I said the Nationals lack of fundamentals was dangerous, but alas, here we are.