Nats drop both sides of double-header

Written by William Yoder on .

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Game 1

Scott Olsen could not keep the ball in the park today. Two Raul Ibanez shots, and a Jason Werth liner that left the park, gave the Nats a deficit they simply couldn’t overcome.  The Result?

The Nats lost 8-5 in front of a bevy of Phillies fans in Nationals Park.

Brett Myers provided just what the Phillies needed Saturday afternoon. Coming off a 12 inning marathon that saw the club pitch almost all of their staff, they needed their starter to go as long as he could and eat up as many innings as possible. He did an excellent job, only making two mistakes, both solo homers to Ryan Zimmerman and Josh Willingham. Aside from that he pitched seven innings, one other hit, and no other earned runs. He also struck out eight and walked two.

Once Myers left the game, the Nats bats came alive. The club smacked Ryan Madson up for three runs in one inning, and earned another hit off of troubled close Brad Lidge in the 9th. It was too little too late for the Nats however.

Game 2

Things started off well enough for the Nats in game two as they took an early lead off a Nick Johnson RBI single in the first. They held the lead 1-0 until reality set in for starting pitcher Daniel Cabrera. The third inning saw the Phillies big three score a trio of runs on the Nats with a Chase Utley double to drive in Jimmy Rollins, and a Ryan Howard bomb to score Utley.

Today saw Jimmy Rollins pick up four hits after he had been batting below .200 leading into the series. Maybe this is what the one time MVP needed to kick start his season, it’s just unfortunate it had to come against the Nationals.capt.e33d6475dcd24b26b3e48235494be2de.phillies_nationals_baseball_dcev101 

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A chat with The Good Phight

Written by William Yoder on .

flaglogoFor a look at this weekends series with the reigning World Champion Phillies, we sat down with Matt from the Phillies blog, 'The Good Phight.' He was able to provide us with some great insight on the Phil's, their numbers, and the teams future.
Check it out:
The Nats Blog (TNB)At 16-16, do you think the Phillies have what it takes to turn the season around and be another World Championship team? Not a .500 one?
 
The Good Phight (TGP): The Phillies are an above average team for sure. Winning a championship will always entail some luck, and the Phillies had a few things break their way last year towards the end.  There are eight teams in the playoffs and there just isn't much of a chance to separate the best from the rest.  The goal is to make the playoffs, and see what happens from there.  The best team in the MLB will only beat the worst team in the MLB maybe 65% of the time, so a five or seven game series will not determine much between two good teams each have at most 55% chance of winning an individual game.  The Phillies had excellent preparation in the playoffs last year, and were fortunate that they didn't need to use Cole against the Nationals the last Sunday of the season-- that left him rested and ready to dominate in the playoffs.  This year, the Phillies come out with a very similar team to last year.  The regular season Phillies weren't all that lucky last year.  In reality, their Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) was absurdly low given how their hitters usually hit the ball and they probably could have won a couple more games if it weren't for their line drives going right at people more than other teams line drives did.  The BABIP of last year's team was freakishly low and that should rebound.  There was no one who really had a career year for the Phillies last year, at least not by much (Utley and Hamels had very similar 2007 and 2008 seasons).  So all in all, the Phillies have put themselves in the position to contend.  That's what you have to do.  The Mets are certainly a good team with holes, just like the Phillies are, and the Braves are pretty good too.  The team has been somewhat unlucky on surrendering more homeruns per flyball than historical trends would suggest as well.  In general, the Phillies are probably a 90-win team likely to win about 90 games.  That said, a little luck can always push you 5 games or so in either direction easily.
 
 
TNB: Many considered the Raul Ibanez signing unwise at the time, but so far it has paid off as he has been one of the most productive hitters for the Phillies, what do you think of Ibanez and the deal?
 
450ibanez_12-20-2008_322kfijTGP: Most sabermetrically inclined Phillies fans were against the deal from the start.  Raul Ibanez replaced Pat Burrell, who many of us were/are huge fans of, and is older and puts up generally weaker numbers as well.  He has flashy AVG and RBI numbers that more casual fans might find exciting, but his OBP and SLG has been below Burrell's for several years.  Additionally, he's older.  So it's easy to rip this deal, and many have.  At the same time, I take a different perspective on the deal.  Pat Burrell was a free agent at the end of the season, which left the Phillies with the talent of an 87-win team or so.  That generally is not enough to make the playoffs.  However, they chose to sure up the weakest position they had, given that Geoff Jenkins was slotted to be the LF if they made no replacement.  They chose to raise payroll, and sign an above average LF.  Did they misread the market?  Probably.  But at the same time, they made the right decision to turn an 87-win team into a 90-win team for about $10MM per season, which is a smart investment.  If they could have done it for $8MM per season, and committed fewer years, I might have preferred that.  But that is minor compared to the decision of whether or not to raise payroll, and not only did they raise payroll, they added someone at the right position.  For four years in a row, the Phillies have fixed up their rotation near the trade deadline (Cory Lidle in 2005, Jamie Moyer in 2006, Kyle Lohse in 2007, and Joe Blanton in 2008), and that is easier to fill than a LF, because you never know whether a LF will be on the market mid-season.  For that reason, I was pleased with the signing, if a little sabermetrically and emotionally irked because I loved Burrell.  Especially given Burrell's slow start, it does allow for the possibility that something was wrong that the Phillies knew about privately, which would make me all the more comfortable with the Ibanez deal.
 

The real missed opportunity behind Obama's first pitch ditch

Written by William Yoder on .

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It was just another Monday in Washington D.C as politicians made their crawl up the Capitol steps and lobbyists grabbed their morning coffee before hopping on the metro. Tourists strolled the National Mall, suburban parents commuted and a few lucky kids got to play hooky. It was the home opener on a beautiful day in Washington and the city’s baseball fans appreciated it.

Like every other day in the District a decision by a politician was made, but there was little partisanship on the banks of Anacostia that afternoon. President Barack Obama, busy running a nation, was forced to decline his invitation to throw out the first pitch in front of the packed home crowd.

The decision was made with some, but for the most part little controversy. It has long been a grand tradition to have the president throw out the first pitch for Washington’s home opener since William Taft first inaugurated the act in 1910 for the Senators. In fact many believe this may have been the first – first pitch in baseball history. As lore has it the idea for the pitch came from Washington’s own Clark Griffith who believed if he could get the president to throw out the first pitch, baseball would officially have the presidential seal of approval, thus making it without question the nation’s pastime.

clark-griffith-hof-1Since then the acting president has continued the proud Clark Griffith tradition 45 times in the last 63 Washington opening days. The form has changed; sometimes the president would throw it from the front row, and other times he would take his wind-up on the mound, but at an extremely high rate (72%) the commander-in-chief has been there to show his support for the city as well as the nation’s pastime. It has long been considered baseballs most important tradition, as it is the affirmation that baseball is our country’s game.

To the city and to the team’s fans Obama’s absence was noted, and many were let down that Clark Griffith’s grand tradition, and perhaps in it Washington baseball’s best claim to fame was put off yet again by a President.  There was moderate debate amongst the blogs and the papers that this let down was just one in a long string of disappointments which Nationals’ fans have faced since the teams return to Washington in 2005.

But lost with the question on whether or not Obama dissed the Nationals by not throwing out the first pitch, is whether or not given the history of Washington baseball patriarch, Clark Griffith, would he have allowed a black man to throw out the first pitch were he here today.

It was in this history that Calvin Griffith, nephew and heir of legendary baseball figure Clark Griffith moved the Washington Senators, to Minneapolis, Minnesota in 1961. Griffith didn’t admit it at the time but was later quoted in the Minneapolis Tribune as saying, “I’ll tell you why we came to Minnesota. It was when we found out you only had 15,000 blacks here. Black people don’t go to ballgames, but they’ll fill up a rassling ring and put up such a chant it’ll scare you to death. We came here because you’ve got good, hardworking white people here.”

His comments had their own fallout as Griffith was ripped by the local media as well as by his players. In fact it even led to the eventual parting of the Twins with their then best player, Rod Carew, who refused to be another African American on Griffiths, “plantation.”

It was Minnesota where the Griffith’s relationship with race and baseball ended, but it was Washington where it took full bloom. The antagonism the Griffith’s felt from their shared space and close relationship with the Homestead Grays, as well as a southern upbringing is most likely what caused the Uncle- Nephew tandem to develop their beliefs. Griffith stadium was filled with segregated stands when the hometown Senators were in town, but the stadium truly came alive when the club was out of town and filled with almost entirely African American fans to cheer on the great Homestead Grays who would play in their stead.

44-15278-fThe Grays were based in Pittsburgh but considered Washington their home away from home as they played many games in Griffith Stadium in the 1930’s and 1940’s.  Negro League Icons strolled the playing field of the Senators stadium. Names like Cool Papa Bell, Josh Gibson, Buck Leonard and Cum Posey. The team was considered the Yankees of the Negro Leagues, the Grays won eight out of nine Negro League National League Championships in the 30’s and 40’s and ten overall.

The Washington Senators success at this time was quite minimal. It was often said that Washington was, “first in war, first in peace, and last in the American League.” This may have been too kind. Things were bad for the Senators’ yet owner Clark Griffith, even years after Jackie Robinson first put in a uniform for Los Angeles refused to sign any players from the exceptional Grays who played in his very own stadium. Griffith was so stubborn that in the 1940’s he signed a one legged pitcher, Bert Shepard, and a sanitation worker, Ed Boland, over greats like Josh Gibson.

Clark was quoted saying, “I will not sign a Negro for the Washington club merely to satisfy subversive persons. I would welcome a Negro on the Senators if he rated the distinction, if he belonged among major league players.“

Well then what about an African American throwing out the first pitch, an African American who is the President of the United States, no less.

Obama may have missed a great opportunity in throwing out the first pitch that ordinary Monday afternoon. The following Tuesday would have seen the same politicians walk up the Capitol steps, and hopefully those same kids returning to school. But quietly a lot would have changed.

Symbolism screams throughout baseball regardless of if we can quantify it with the statistics we love so much. The sport represents opportunity, triumph, and the overcoming of obstacles. Maybe this is why we love our statistics so much, because it gives us a way to understand and hopefully predict what we can not control, the game of baseball.

Unquantifiable, however, would be the impact that an African American man, representing world power, would have throwing out that first pitch. Echoing the action of so many presidents before him he would affirm baseball as our nations pastime and in doing so muzzle the slurs of the Clark and Calvin Griffith while laying to rest the ghosts of the Homestead Grays. 

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Zimmerman's streak ends, Capitals lose, but the Nats win

Written by William Yoder on .

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The Capitals lost game seven, and Zimmerman’s hit streak ended at 30, but in what be the most deflating night in D.C sports history, the Nationals squeak by with 6-3 victory over the Giants on the other side of the country.

Shairon Martis flat out dazzled. Through seven innings pitched he allowed merely two hits and only one earned run, which didn’t come until the seventh.  As usual Martis was successful by challenging pitchers and throwing on the black of the plate. With the victory the 22-year-old improved to an National League leading 5-0, while still sporting a 4.10 ERA.

Martis wasn’t perfect though, he still struggles with his control. Wednesday saw him strike out two while walking four.  In 109 pitches he only through 59 for strikes, a sharp contrast from his performance only a week and a half ago against St. Louis where he threw 79 strikes in 110 pitches. It’s tough to say where Martis’s future will bring him. He doesn’t throw all that hard, he doesn’t have a strikeout pitch to brag about, and his K/BB ratio is pretty lousy (21/17). You can’t argue with success though, which is what he has shown at the young age of 22 rather consistently. He wins games for a bad team. Luck? Maybe, maybe not.

capt.0c730acd2d2345f08c3b650b9b29e3dc.nationals_giants_baseball__fxpb101The Bats

Guzman recorded yet another multi hit game today, 3-5 with a double and two singles, raising his batting average to .390. He has been a hit machine for the Nats, recording 39 in 21 games. When he qualifies for it, which should be soon as he is only nine at bats behind league leader Joey Votto (.374), he will be leading the NL in hitting by a large margin.

The leadoff hitter has still not recorded a walk in 100 at bats, which is…well absurd. Last year he recorded a flat-out awful 23 walks in 579 at bats. This pace will set him at 5.5 walks on the season. So far his swing at anything that comes mentality has worked out, he is hitting .390 and getting on base at…well…390. But what happens when his average comes down to his career average of .273?

Zimmerman’s streak came to an end today, but he was still productive to his team. While going 0-3, he reached base three times. He got there twice on walks, and once on a fielders choice, scored a run, and made some plays in the field. So while the joy of the hit streak is gone for Washington and Ryan, he’s still playing productive baseball, which is much better for the team than a record chase.

Bullpen

For most of the later innings of the game, I was sure Zimmerman would get a few more chances to hit because our bullpen would send a 4-0 lead to extra innings. Once invincible Joe Beimel came in and let up two hits and a run while only recording one out. Then Kip Wells came in to get the ‘save’ while still letting up two hits and a run in 1.2.

I’ve never seen the bullpen with such a stigma about it, one that you just had zero faith in. It’s almost like the Mets of last year, but at the beginning of the season. Will this last? Can it last?

Bad Managing

Elijah Dukes got caught stealing twice yesterday to bring his grand total of caught stealing to six. That means he has two stolen bases in eight attempts, which is the point where you clearly just have to stop trying. Dukes is not a guy that should be on the fly this often. Statisticians have proven that stolen bases are not worth the risk, and when you are completing steals at only 20% you are just hurting the team and taking away valuable base runners. 

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Nats blow another save, lose to the Giants

Written by William Yoder on .

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Joe Beimel finally got what many Nationals fans had hoped for, a save opportunity. Beimel brought something that many in the Nats bullpen did not have, a professional track record. He brought to fans the hope that in him we may actually have a competent closer for 2009.

Whoops.

In his first save opportunity, Beimel blew it to say the least.  Up one run going into the bottom of the eight against San Francisco, Beimel let up 3 earned runs on a Pablo Sandoval walk off dinger, leaving Giants fans ecstatic and Nats fans in shock.

It was a hard nights sleep.

capt.0c1115d5c40242a88e972bf716d62377.nationals_giants_baseball_fxpb108Jordan Zimmermann continued to look like a 22 year old as he gave up five earned runs scattered through six innings.  He had two big innings, and four shut-out ones. This isn’t all that bad, he’s taking his licks, he’s learning how to get through rough innings, and is showing he has the ability to be dominant in others.

There’s something special about watching him pitch. He has a swagger on the mound that’s hard to put into words. It’s confident, he knows his ability. At the same time he looks like he’s taking everything in and learning something new every inning he takes the mound. There’s just something about Jordan Zimmermann that puts confidence in the Nats future, yet shows flashes of excitement in today’s game.

Ryan Zimmerman

The hit streak continues. With his 2-5 performance last night he extended his hit streak, reaching the elusive 30 game club. He is now tied with George Brett for the second longest streak ever by a third basemen, but still stands 14 behind Pete Rose for the NL/3b record and 26 away from DiMaggio’s all-time record.

For the Nationals however, this hit streak has meant much more than the first scent of good publicity the team has had since 2006. In the month of May Zimmerman has caught on fire, batting .500/.509/.760. Yes, that’s an OPS of 1.269, and the effects are starting to show in the win column as the Nats sport a 5-5 record for the month.

His hot streak is spreading throughout the Nats line-up:

Month of May stats:
Cristian Guzman .346/.346/.500
Adam Dunn .318. /.412/.705
Nick Johnson .268/.380/.390

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The Nats Blog featured around the web

Written by William Yoder on .

tnb_logoIn the last two weeks I have been asked to contribute as the Nationals correspondent for two websites. First I answered questions for The Baseball Opinion about the Nationals. The interview was published in two parts. Part 1, Part 2

I also have been asked to contribute on a monthly basis to Baseball Reflections. This is a cool site, where writers from many different clubs write once a month about how their teams individual month has gone. Sorry Nats fans, I couldn't be too positive about April (Natinals, Elijah Dukes, The Bullpen, Kasten inviting Philly Fans). My first reflection will be up soon, and I'll let you know. 

Ryan Zimmerman's streak now third longest among third basemen

Written by William Yoder on .

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With Ryan Zimmerman’s outstanding 4-5 performance last night, he extended his hit streak to 29 games, making his streak the third longest for a third basemen in Major League History.

 He now ranks behind George Brett, whose 1980 hit streak reached 30, and Pete Rose, who has the second longest hit streak of all time with 44.  Zimmerman’s first inning single helped him pass Wade Boggs who previously had the third longest streak with 28.

Zimmerman of course has a long way to go before making any significant history.  He of course already has the Nationals franchise record for longest hit streak, although that isn’t saying much. However, while 29 games is amazing, lets look at what others have done this decade alone:

2006 – Jimmy Rollins 38
2002 – Louis Castillo 35
2006 – Chase Utley 35
2003 – Albert Pujols 30
2006 – Willy Taveres 30
2007 – Moises Alou 30

Right now he has 16 games to go to break the National League mark and the mark for his position, which Pete Rose set at 44 in 1978. Of course he also has 27 to go to tie the all-time record of Joe Dimagio, who hit in 56 games consecutively in 1941. Many consider it the hardest record to break in sports.

Sit back and enjoy the ride.

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Apologies

Written by William Yoder on .

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I apologize everyone for the lack of updates in the next few days, but I am graduating from Ohio Wesleyan University. We'll be back up by Monday at the latest.