| 03 May 2010
As we will do each monday throughout the season, we will today take a look at Accuscore's playoff forecaster to see how the previous weeks games influenced the divisions playoff race. Despite the Nationals breaking even with a 3-3 record on the week, after first taking two of three from Chicago and then dropping two of three to Florida, Washington's playoff chances dropped 3.4% from 13.9%-10.5%. The computer also shrunk the Nationals predicted chances of winning the division from 9.3% to 6.3%.
Around the division, Accuscore interestingly did not like the Mets very much despite them going 4-2 on the week. Stephen Oh explains:
"The team that AccuScore's computers continue to disrespect are the New York Mets. They had a 4-2 week, but like last week their record vs winning teams and on the road continues to be sub-par. Until the Mets start winning a series or two vs a team like Philadelphia, St. Louis or even Florida on the road, they will continue to be stuck at the under 10 percent in playoff percentage club. The Mets did see a +5 percent improvement (4th best in the NL) and this represented a 2.5X increase in playoff percentage from last week."
Accuscore's NL Playoff Forecaster
|
NATIONAL LEAGUE |
WEEK 4 REVIEW |
PLAYOFF |
% CHANCE |
|
|
TEAM |
26-Apr |
3-May |
% DIFF |
WIN DIV |
|
San Francisco Giants |
30.9% |
48.4% |
17.5% |
40.1% |
|
St. Louis Cardinals |
87.4% |
97.7% |
10.3% |
91.9% |
|
Florida Marlins |
11.7% |
18.9% |
7.2% |
12.5% |
|
New York Mets |
3.1% |
8.1% |
5.0% |
5.0% |
|
Philadelphia Phillies |
73.7% |
74.8% |
1.1% |
69.4% |
|
Cincinnati Reds |
1.5% |
2.0% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
|
Chicago Cubs |
40.5% |
41.0% |
0.5% |
7.3% |
|
Los Angeles Dodgers |
23.5% |
23.1% |
-0.4% |
16.9% |
|
Pittsburgh Pirates |
0.4% |
0.0% |
-0.4% |
0.0% |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks |
24.5% |
23.7% |
-0.8% |
18.0% |
|
Houston Astros |
2.4% |
0.2% |
-2.2% |
0.0% |
|
Washington Nationals |
13.9% |
10.5% |
-3.4% |
6.3% |
|
San Diego Padres |
25.1% |
19.4% |
-5.7% |
14.5% |
|
Atlanta Braves |
16.8% |
10.7% |
-6.1% |
6.8% |
|
Colorado Rockies |
24.4% |
15.0% |
-9.4% |
10.5% |
|
Milwaukee Brewers |
20.4% |
6.5% |
-13.9% |
0.6% |
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