Random Stat of the Day, Milestones

Alex Rodriguez’s contract signed in 2007 locked him up for 10 years at $275 million. The contract also included a $30 million marketing agreement based on home run milestones:

$6 million for reaching each milestone of 660, 714, 755, and breaking and tying the major league home run record.

Alex Rodriguez is currently suffering arguably his worst year as a pro and many are wondering about a possible decline for the slugger. In 2007 Rodriguez hit 54 homers and drove in 156 runs while batting .314. Those numbers dropped to .302/35/103 last season, and are down to .267/22/68 this year.

While his off year is may have been expected following his surgery and the drama from the offseason, its questionable whether or not he’ll reach those $6 million milestones. Back in 2007, when he signed the contract, Bill James listed the probability of him reaching these milestones:

600 Home Runs = 90%
700 Home Runs = 50%
756 Home Runs = 31%

Rodriguez currently has 575 dingers on his career.