Mail Bag: What should the MLB do with #1 picks? E-mail
Written by William Yoder   
Wednesday, 01 April 2009 18:54

David Price

A letter from Beta Twin:

"Only a man of your pedigree and stature can help me with this dilemma regarding the subject of a recent post of yours, Stephen Strasburg. Why would baseball allow Strasburg and Scott Boras to hijack the Nats organization with this supposed 50 million dollar contract demand?  Jon Heyman's column on SI.com first raised my ire over this situation.  To me this represents one of the fundamental flaws with baseball, the draft process and inability to sign players.  It is crazy that anyone can demand this sort of money from an organization without throwing a pitch in the majors.  There is no way of knowing whether Strasburg will have a career mirroring Randy Johnson or legendary flameout Mark Prior.

David Price, a former #1 pick signed for 10$ million, considered to be the traditional max value for a #1 pick.  Is Stephen Strasburg really 5 times better than David Price or every single other player ever drafted by an MLB team?  David Price only just closed out Game 7 of the ALCS last October.  Could you imagine the outcry if Matthew Stafford demanded 5 times the pay of past #1 picks in the NFL draft?  To me, MLB, and the NFL as well, needs a rookie pay scale similar to what the NBA currently has in place.  For Jake Long to be the highest paid at his position in the NFL without playing a snap is ludicrous, and an insult to veterans that have proven themselves over the years.  These leagues need to reward performances on the field in the pros and not just hype.

Of course, I realize that there is a BIG difference between an NBA team with up to 15 players and an MLB organization with multiple farm affiliates.  However, baseball should be smart enough to come up with a system that allows teams to be able to sign drafted players.  (I take that back...obviously Uncle Bud isn't smart enough to think of such a thing.) Surely there must be a cap on what rookies should be able to earn through the draft, whether it be pick-by-pick or a rookie pool max.  MLB doesn't have a salary cap of course, but maybe this could be a step towards leveling the playing field.  These guys obviously deserve to get paid fairly as top picks, but it has to be reasonable for everyone involved.  Heyman compared the contract demands of Strasburg to Sox ace Daisuke Matsuzaka.  The only difference between Strasburg and Matsuzaka is that Matsuzaka was a 6 time All-Star in Japan, while Strasburg pitches against the likes of Air Force in the Mountain West.  Matsuzaka earned his contract with the Red Sox by clearly being the best pitcher in a nation which has won the first two World Baseball Classics.

Just for arguments sake, let's assume that Strasburg will have a plaque in Cooperstown one day.  The worst teams (like the Nats, sorry) should be able to pick the best players without having to worry about signability.  In the end isn't this the goal of the draft??  Do fans really want to have to deal with this JD Drew scenario every few years?  How can the Nats truly expect to get better if they have last year's first round pick unsigned, and then miss out on the next Walter Johnson because of contract demands.  It's not like the Nats are huge players in free agency, Adam Dunn aside.  How else would they get better, seriously?  Ending Jim Bowden's reign of terror will only get the team so far..."

Beta Twin,

You raise an interesting point in comparing the situations of MLB rookies to NFL and NBA ones. Clearly a large problem in Major League Baseball is the lavish demands of its draftees who have way more options and rights than any other amateur athlete in the world. You're 100% on when you suggest that it hurts parity, and by allowing these potential superstars to avoid going to the seller dwellers that can't afford the current superstars, who is the draft really helping?. So yes Beta Twin, the MLB does need to figure out how to take control of the amateur draft process.

One of the biggest agitators that feeds this dilemma is the flexibility players have going into the MLB draft. Unlike the other major sports, in baseball you can be drafted and chose not to sign, and still keep your amateur status. In fact a large amount of top D1 baseball players have already been drafted at least once, including out of high school and possibly earlier in their college career. This flexibility alone gives all but seniors an incredible bargaining position. I feel this is the first place the MLB needs to focus on in improving singability of draftees.

As for Strasburg's individual case, and debating if he is worth the big paycheck, you have to look at it in a slightly different light. If you don't think of Strasburg as a rookie, but as a free agent, the $50 million investment may not seem so outrageous. You cite Mark Prior as an example of a ‘flameout' however while Prior's inability to stay healthy was disappointing...did he not perform to the ability of his contract?

Wood,PriorIn his first two healthy years for Chicago Prior started 49 games, pitched 328 innings, posted a record of 24-12, had 392 strikeouts and only 88 walks. He was a main factor in the Cubs winning the division in 2003 and helped the team make a very close push to a World Series.

Yes, at the end of this his arm fell off, but ask yourself...would you pay $10 million for a free agent who could put up numbers like those? I certainly would. So what kind of pitcher would you pay $50 million to have control of for the next 4-5 years? I'd say one who will win 15 or so games a year, strike out about 160-200 batters a year, and post an ERA between 3.5 and 4. If the scouts think Strasburg can do that, then I say show him the money. 

Comments (2)Add Comment
...
written by Gamma Twin, April 02, 2009
Dear Yoder Brethren,

Allow me to show you why I was known as the "voice of reason" for you two knuckleheads. Both of you are missing the point. There's no way any team could see a just result from investing $50 million dollars into Strasburg by the end of his contract. You mentioned David Price, Matt, but he's starting this season in the minors to build his arm slowly (no fantasy points for me there, sadly). Unless Dusty Baker takes over the Nats, Strasburg isn't going to be out there pitching 200 innings his 1st year. The way young arms are handled these days, it's going to take 2-3 full years before you see Strasburg pitching at the value of his contract. In a best case scenario for a bottom-feeder like the Nats, Strasburg gives you 1-2 good years in the majors then bolts for a better, richer team. And Willy, looking at Strasburg like he's a free agent is the exact worst thing the Nats could do to build a winner...it's like copying page 1 of the Dan Snyder playbook...how's that working out for your Redskins? Price and Prior were successful because they were on good teams, something that Strasburg wouldn't be walking into. The Nats need to worry about building a strong team from 1-25 on their roster, not just the prospect they can hype the most. To me, baseball is never going to fix this problem until it cuts the head off the snake, namely blood-sucking uberagents like Scott Boras and runaway spending machines like the Sox and the Yanks that force teams like the Nats to swing for the fences on these "can't miss prospects". At least teams like the Nats are used to swinging and missing.
...
written by fishtoprecords, April 02, 2009
There is nothing wrong with Boras, its the idiot owners that pay the contracts, if no one paid, he'd drop the price.

If I was king, I'd offer Strasburg $5 mill signing, and a $2 mill/year contract. And I'd offer it before I officially picked him.

They Nats can spend $50 million on free agents and do a lot better.

Write comment

busy
 

Follow The Nats Blog

facebook-resized-image-75x75 twitter21-resized-image-75x75 rss2-resized-image-75x75
iphonebadge

Search The Nats Blog

Best Baseball Gear

Nike bats and other baseball equipment can improve your performance on the field.

About Bloguin

Bloguin is the revolutionary blog network specifically focused on helping bloggers get the most out of their websites. We're currently working on building a large network of online communities and hope to expand our blogging coverage to include a wide range of topics.

Advertisers

The Bloguin Network allows advertisers to promote their products and services to our ever-growing number of visitors. We offer both site-specific ad placements as well as the ability to run a network-wide campaign. If you're interested in working with Bloguin to meet your advertising needs, please contact us.

Bloggers Wanted

The Bloguin Network is always looking to expand. We're specifically looking for blogs in the sports, entertainment, and video games field, but are open to adding any type of quality site.. If you're a blogger and interested in joining our network, please fill out our application form.

The Bloguin Login

The Bloguin Login gives you full access to everything our network has to offer. Your name and password will work for each and every one of our sites. Signing up is simple, and will allow you to post in all our forums, create member blogs, and access other cool features! What are you waiting for? Create an Account!